Boys - Girls
Elkhart Central Regional
2006 - 2007 - 2008



These are rankings of individuals and teams that feed into this regional. It is not a projected order of finish in the race.
Below the rankings is a projection of this round of the tournament.


RankNameGradeSchoolRatingState Rank
1  Valerie Burns 10 Penn 18:39 #6  
2  Ali Hochstetler 9 Bethany Christian 19:07 #24  
3  Karissa Cominator 12 Northridge 19:22 #40  
4  Hannah Miller 12 Northridge 19:26 #44  
5  Rachel Hollinger-Janzen 12 Goshen 19:33 #55  
6  Hanna Mercer 11 Northridge 19:39 #58  
7  Katelyn Eberhardt 12 Mishawaka 19:42 #60  
8  Beth Werge 10 Riley 19:44 #63  
9  Hope Jordan 9 Bremen 19:49 #68  
10  Sarah Hutchings 12 Penn 19:49 #69  
11  Hayley Keil 10 Northridge 19:52 #74  
12  Caitlyn Koscielski 11 Marian 19:56 #87  
13  Emily Haines 11 Mishawaka 20:00 #96  
14  Diamond Setterberg 10 Fairfield 20:02 #103  
RankNameSectionalRatingState Rank
1  Northridge Elkhart Central 253 #5  
2  Goshen Elkhart Central 384 #18  
3  Penn Riley 414 #22  
4  Mishawaka Riley 425 #25  
5  Riley Riley 436 #26  



Regional Simulation



Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Only teams that advanced out of the sectional simulation for each trial were included in the regional simulation for that trial. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.


SchoolAdvances to RoundAvg FinishAvg ScoreMin ScoreMax Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Northridge 100.0% 1.0 35 18 70 98.1 1.7 0.2 0.0
Goshen 100.0% 2.8 69 31 113 1.3 52.1 22.3 15.2 9.2
Penn 100.0% 3.4 75 42 109 0.1 17.3 36.4 31.7 14.5
Mishawaka 100.0% 3.8 79 40 120 0.4 15.7 23.1 28.1 32.7
Riley 100.0% 4.0 82 41 117 0.2 13.2 18.1 25.0 43.6


RunnerSchoolRatingAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20
Valerie Burns Penn 18:39 100.0% 1.0 88.2 9.7 1.5 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.0
Ali Hochstetler Bethany Christian 19:07 100.0% 1.8 9.1 54.5 16.4 9.3 4.8 2.9 1.3 0.7 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
Karissa Cominator Northridge 19:22 100.0% 3.3 1.4 15.3 26.3 21.6 13.7 8.1 5.4 3.7 2.0 1.1 0.7 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
Hannah Miller Northridge 19:26 100.0% 4.0 0.8 8.6 19.6 21.5 16.3 12.0 7.9 5.2 3.1 2.3 1.4 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
Rachel Hollinger-Janzen Goshen 19:33 100.0% 5.3 0.3 5.7 14.2 12.9 13.7 12.8 10.6 8.4 6.8 5.1 4.0 2.9 1.6 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
Hanna Mercer Northridge 19:39 100.0% 6.5 0.1 1.3 4.3 9.0 13.9 14.9 12.4 11.1 9.7 7.3 5.4 3.9 2.9 1.7 1.0 0.7 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0
Katelyn Eberhardt Mishawaka 19:42 100.0% 7.3 0.1 1.9 6.2 7.5 9.2 10.6 11.4 11.3 9.7 9.0 7.0 5.8 4.1 2.7 1.7 0.9 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.1
Beth Werge Riley 19:44 100.0% 8.0 0.1 1.5 4.6 6.1 8.0 9.5 10.6 10.1 10.6 9.5 8.4 6.5 5.4 3.6 2.3 1.5 1.0 0.5 0.2 0.1
Hope Jordan Bremen 19:49 100.0% 9.2 0.0 0.7 2.4 3.5 5.6 6.7 8.8 9.9 10.2 9.8 10.0 8.4 7.1 5.9 3.8 2.7 1.8 1.1 0.6 0.5
Sarah Hutchings Penn 19:49 100.0% 9.3 0.6 2.7 3.7 5.7 6.1 8.8 9.4 10.0 10.3 9.4 8.6 7.3 5.8 4.5 2.7 1.8 1.1 0.6 0.3
Hayley Keil Northridge 19:52 100.0% 10.0 0.1 0.3 1.0 3.1 6.4 8.2 9.5 10.1 10.8 10.9 9.8 8.3 7.2 5.4 3.5 2.3 1.4 0.8 0.5
Caitlyn Koscielski Marian 19:56 100.0% 11.1 0.2 1.0 1.7 2.5 3.8 5.4 6.8 8.1 9.1 10.3 10.7 10.2 8.8 6.3 5.2 3.4 2.2 1.7 1.0
Emily Haines Mishawaka 20:00 100.0% 12.1 0.1 0.2 0.9 1.4 2.4 3.6 5.4 6.5 8.2 9.5 10.5 10.3 10.5 8.3 6.8 4.8 3.6 2.6 1.5
Diamond Setterberg Fairfield 20:02 100.0% 12.7 0.1 0.4 0.6 1.3 2.2 3.2 4.1 5.5 7.1 8.1 9.6 11.2 10.2 10.2 7.0 5.9 4.3 2.9 2.2